The Visual Investor: How to Spot Market Trends this question feed

asked by speaker on November 9, 2006 9:40 AM
Praise for THE VISUAL INVESTOR

"John Murphy is one of a rare breed: an expert technical analyst who can actually write. This combination of skills helped make his Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets a classic. Now John has written the perfect overview aimed specifically at the stock investor who wants to learn technical analysis. . . . The Visual Investor offers a complete course in technical analysis, lucid enough to be accessible to the novice, yet thorough enough to range well beyond the basics. . . . [It] is must reading for the stock and mutual fund investor who wants to start incorporating technical analysis as a decision-making tool."
—Jack D. Schwager Author, The New Market Wizards and Technical Analysis

"The challenge of technical analysis is that it can be so technical. Now John Murphy, through The Visual Investor, explains everything for the common investor who wants to use technical analysis but doesn't want an overly complicated presentation."
—Thom Hartle Editor, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine

"As my research group relies heavily on market analysis for its research product, we get numerous inquiries from professional investors on where to find books on this topic. John Murphy's The Visual Investor is my first recommendation to the novice investor as well as the investment professional. . . . [It] is the simplest and most helpful first look at markets that I have seen."
—John Kozey III, CFA, CMT Equity Research Director, Bridge Trading Company


Reviews

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For the novice investor this is a good starting point. It speaks to the beginner trader. It intruduces you to chart analysis, intermarket relationships and Stock and Market trends. However, it is 10 years old and some of the technology discussed is out of date. The basic concepts of oscillators, indicators and trends are solid information. The CD provided did not work in my system and I viewed it as worthless. I think it was created for an operating system well below today's standards. Interesting book and nice starting point for the beginner.
reviewed by ronmiller on November 18, 2006 8:01 AM

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This is a good starter book for the beginner, although it will be much too basic for the intermediate or advanced trader. But if you're just starting out, the first 133 pages will give you a basic introduction to the different technical indicators and chart reading. The next half of the book deals with the application of the indicators to mutual funds and other topics. I would just read the first 133 pages, and then go on to one of the more advanced texts now that you have some background, as this book by itself isn't enough to give you a good understanding of the subject. Murphy himself has a more advanced book, and Martin Pring also, and many others. Just be advised this is really just the beginning. The book is also a bit overpriced but I will say it's probably the easiest book I've seen recently for getting your feet wet on the subject.

Perhaps the most important part of the book is Murphy's mentioning that the head and shoulders pattern was investigated by the Federal Reserve and found to be statistically significant, and supposedly now is using the indicator to time its currency interventions. However, the real use of technical analysis is not that the patterns mean anything in and of themselves, its having the experience and judgment to know which pattern applies in a given situation that makes them truly useful, and the fact the traders themselves believe in them, so to some extent they become a self-fulfilling prophecy. So the field of technical analysis is itself a combination of art and science.

And actually, the most important aspect of trading is loss control and sell discipline, and understanding position sizing relative to risk and reward, since understanding the technical indicators is actually fairly straightforward, and many charting packages will do that for you anyway, so you don't even know how to understand how they're derived. And the charting packages will generate buys and sells by whatever indicator you want, but remember, it's knowing when to apply a given indicator that's the hard part. Finally, if you're planning on starting in on trading yourself, make sure you read up on and understand what's known as "money management" thoroughly before you set out--such as proper position sizing (not risking too much money on a given trade) and not selling your losers promply--an almost universal mistake among novice traders--and even pros who should (and do) know better. Good luck and happy trading!

reviewed by carrots on November 20, 2006 10:44 PM

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Absolutely nothing special at all. Target audience is on par of those reading Elder's Trading for a Living. Teaches a little bit of everything, but nothing very well. An advanced trader should literally be able to flip through the book, look at the charts and infer all that is necessary from this book. The few strong points that I saw were linked to intermarket relationships which Murphy has already written an entire book about.
reviewed by selena on November 26, 2006 2:08 PM

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