How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread this question feed

asked by trailrider on November 3, 2006 4:33 AM
A step-by-step guide to full time sports betting. How the business of sports betting 'works', pointspreads, 'vigorish' & bookmakers. How pros pencil-in a predicted score, how to recognize key pointspreads, how to account for injuries, how to spot motivations, how to beat over/unders, correct money management, how to profit from parlays, how to deal with abstractual factors, how to spot sucker plays, how to beat exhibition season, how to spot motivations, how to form power ratings, how to profit from various special situations...Everything you need to know to beat pro football.


Reviews

Thumb_up
Thumb_down

0%
0%
When it comes to handicapping the NFL you can't go wrong with How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread. The author, J.R. Miller, is himself a professional sports gambler (although he's more likely to agree it is sports investing, not gambling).

How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread covers everything the handicapper needs to know to handicap the NFL. Miller covers both the technical and subjective sides to handicapping the NFL, from generating a mathematical prediction to spotting key motivational situations and injuries. Miller covers the distribution of margin of victory and point totals in the NFL, and he explains the importance of key pointspread and total numbers.

There is much more to being a long-term winner against the pointspread, and How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread covers these topics in detail. The most important of these topics is money management. There's no one that knows money management better than J.R. Miller, and he provides a solid chapter on the subject in this book.

How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread also covers topics such as beating the NFL exhibition season. Miller provides tips and techniques that will help you find value in betting the NFL exhibition season. Miller also provides the low down on parlays, and he shows how you can use them to your advantage.

It's hard to say anything bad about this book, and if you only have time to read one book on handicapping the NFL this season then your best bet is with How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football Pointspread. The techniques covered in this book have proven to be timeless, and there's no one better to learn the ins-and-outs of beating the NFL from than J.R. Miller.
reviewed by vcedwards on November 23, 2006 10:34 AM

Thumb_up
Thumb_down

0%
0%
You look for a book with information about betting? You are in a good place. However, this book is not worth +$20. It is worth ten times it.

No matter if you are a begginer or you make a living off betting - you should read this book. J.R Miller has over twenty year experience and you might be sure every single piece of information included in this book is a great help for your betting career.

Have you ever wondered how bookmakers set the lines or how they balance the book in order to earn? With this book you will learn a lot of details about work of sports book. Without these information you are like a soldier without a weapon. You must understand your opponent in order to beat him.

What factors are most important when you make your every day bet- selection process ? Is it teams' motivation, mental approach, statistics? With this book you find out a lot about every of these factors and you will be able to compute them into one succesfull winning proces.

You have always thought, a good punter is a punter with a high yield (ROI) ? Frankly, I do not care about yield and neither does J.R Miller. It is better to have 1200 selections with 5% ROI than back 4 super-bankers a week and achieve 25% yield. Why? because it is about making money. Paramethers are only on paper. What you should care of is money. And not hit rate, not yield, but earned units/profit is the single important rate. It is very simple, is not it? But try asking this question people familiar with betting and note how many care more about yield than profit(!). You should grind with 1% of bank to spread a risk - not make a little number if bets with well-looking yield. If you fell you have 1% or 2% Expected Value in a particular bet - place a bet. Do not look for bankers, for great valuebets - take everything you have an edge over bookmaker. In a long term it brings you low yield but a lot of money.

There is great chapter about money managament. It is worth this 25 bucks itself. It exlains a term of plateu and describes how strongly it influences your profitability.

My favourtie chapter, however is about Winning Percentages. It deals with short-term and long-term results. How many bets you are likely to hit in you next 10 bets if your winning rate is 6?
You would be suprised how LITTLE is probability of hitting exactly six. Yes, it is the most probable outcome but it is very low. You can go 3/10 with similiar probablity.

This chapter deals with the issues that turn a good punter (with solid selections and proper money managament scheme) into real bookie busher who rides through losing streaks without any harm , spend easy-earned money anywhere he wants and he has no doubts about the selections he makes.

With good theoretical backround you will learn that betting has more in common with investing than stock exchange.

And if you wonder if it is for US punters exclusively - my qucikly reply is: "it is not". I bet on only on European Soccer and MIller's book was one of my major sources of windsom in this field.
reviewed by mattisboss on November 25, 2006 11:24 PM

Thumb_up
Thumb_down

0%
0%
I agree that Miller's book is one of the best on Sports Betting (i.e. NFL) but the competition is rather weak. I would very much like to find some usefull or interesting texts on the topic.

After some reading I have decided to down grade Mr Miller's book a notch (to three stars but Amazon wont let me). I think "Stop Making Those Dumb Bets..." might be a better read.
reviewed by fusionz on November 26, 2006 4:17 AM

Thumb_up
Thumb_down

0%
0%
This is by far the best source I've encountered for tips on sports betting. Miller is a real professional sports bettor-- not one of those phonies who promise 90% locks, he understands the real nature of the game and explains it in a simple, straightforward manner perfect for novices and experts alike.

The first section of the book explains some of the basics of sports betting with a good explanation of what it takes to win. Most of the rest of the book specifically addresses betting on the NFL game and how to beat it, including a valuable money-making betting system.

There are also two chapters in the book dealing with money management, which explain how important this aspect of sports betting is. The information here dispels a number of myths regarding money management and can be applied to any sport. Of all of the great lessons in the book, these may be the most eye-opening and what makes you the most money.

If you are serious about learning about sports betting, this book is an unbeatable investment.

reviewed by avi on November 26, 2006 3:26 PM

search

 
 

browse

book tags